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UK equities: knock-down valuations for high quality businesses

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By Rebecca Maclean, Co-Manager, Ben Ritchie, Co-Manager, Dunedin Income Growth Investment Trust

UK plc is on sale. Strategic buyers, private equity and company management teams are all taking note of knock-down valuations for high quality UK businesses. Yet many domestic buyers continue to overlook the opportunity. Like all good sales, it may not last forever.

Overseas buyers can’t snap up UK companies fast enough. The list is long. In July alone, facilities management company Mitie reached an agreement to be acquired by private equity-backed competitor OCS Group in a deal valued at £3.1bn, Segro agreed a £13.5bn takeover from Prologis, EasyJet was bought by Apollo Global Management, a US private equity firm, while Rotork was absorbed by ABB.

According to Deutsche Numis data to the end of July, there have been 27 potential and confirmed takeover approaches for UK companies, with a combined value of more than $70 billion.

The rationale for this enthusiasm is clear. International investors know they can acquire quality, global franchises at compelling prices. Goldman Sachs’ analysis of European strategic M&A shows that US acquirers have concentrated a disproportionate share of their European acquisition spending in the UK. Most of these deals have been agreed at a premium to the current market price, with the average takeover premium reaching 39%.

A preference for quality

These bids have had certain characteristics. Activity has been skewed to larger assets – 13 of the 27 bids since the start of the year have been for companies with a market cap greater than $1bn. Equally, while public markets have been indifferent to quality companies with durable competitive advantages, strong cash flow and visible earnings, these are often the types of businesses sought by international investors.

Another notable theme is that many of the companies attracting interest are global businesses rather than domestic economic plays. Around 75% of FTSE All-Share revenues are generated overseas. In effect, buyers are acquiring global franchises through a market that remains valued at a discount to international peers. Public markets may have fallen out of love with dependable compounders, but strategic acquirers continue to recognise the value of these businesses.

The companies themselves also appear to have real faith in their own businesses. Corporate buybacks remain another important source of demand for UK shares. Corporate share buybacks are continuing at a healthy pace, supported by strong cash generation, resilient balance sheets and management confidence. Our research shows that with the buyback yield of the UK market above 2% and a dividend yield exceeding 3%, total shareholder distributions from the UK market are above 5%.



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